Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 05:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 14 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 April 2026 — 6 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 14 at 9:44PM CDT until June 15 at 12:30AM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX
Urban PEI: 341,166 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 April 2026
- June 15, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- September 12, 2026 · score 37 · 10.8 km
- September 9, 2026 · score 37 · 10.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 31.3411, -97.6331 |
| Nearest City | Gatesville (15 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 341.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-15T02:44:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.654c9fc7ad9f50352c054f1323ccecd1 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-15T02:44:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-06-15T02:48:45.937Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Bell, TX; Falls, TX; Milam, TX; Llano, TX; Bell, TX; Coryell, TX; Falls, TX; McLennan, TX and 4 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued June 14 at 9:44PM CDT until June 15 at 12:30AM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX |
| Expires | 2026-06-15T00:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Fort Worth TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 7 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.654c9fc7ad9f50352c054f1323ccecd1495a54c3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.729e58c791abf7639092aa881a53866325412a40.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ab697b289defb6173692de2defbd03c7e739b7e0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bddf4e1e109535bfc1581ebdd64c5cfdfca2bee6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c1eaa53d39adcd570ac58a2659e42fb0f2168a96.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ab3905847dc72d85777f4738d73e9f084b36f6bd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.defcc810072bfbbfb3ce7462a1a8c9657129350f.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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